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Skills Icon: Listening
Skills Icon: Speaking
Skills Icon: Problem Solving
Skills Icon: Creativity
Skills Icon: Adapting
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Creative Problem Solving

Problem Solving

Receiving, retaining and processing information
Transmitting information or ideas
Finding solutions to challenges
Using imagination and generating new ideas
Overcoming challenges and setbacks to achieve goals
Setting goals and designing routes to achieve them
Supporting, encouraging and motivating others to achieve a shared goal
Working cooperatively with others to achieve a shared goal
Step
13
:

Hypothesis testing

I structure ideas so that I can test them

Core ideas

A

What is meant by a hypothesis

A hypothesis is an idea or assumption that can be tested to see if it is true or false. It is often used when trying to understand a problem or find the best way to complete a task. A hypothesis is not just a guess—it is a reasoned statement based on what is already known.

For example:

  • If plants receive more sunlight, then they will grow faster.
  • If a new method is used to organise tasks, then tasks will be completed more efficiently.

A good hypothesis is clear, focused, and testable. It allows someone to explore possible solutions by gathering evidence to prove or disprove it.

B

Why and when testing hypotheses is helpful 

Testing hypotheses helps solve complex problems because it allows ideas to be checked before making important decisions. Instead of acting on assumptions, testing helps gather evidence to see what actually works.

Testing hypotheses is useful when:

  • There are different possible explanations for a problem, and you need to find out which one is correct.
  • You need to reduce uncertainty before making a choice.
  • You want to avoid mistakes by testing small changes before making big decisions.
  • You are trying to improve something and need to check if a new idea works better than an old one.

For example, if a team wants to improve how people understand their messages, they might test whether using pictures alongside text makes information clearer.

C

How to turn ideas into testable hypotheses

Turning an idea into a testable hypothesis involves a few simple steps. A well-formed hypothesis should be clear, specific, and possible to test using evidence. Here’s how to do it:

  1. Identify the problem or question: Start by thinking about what you want to understand or improve. Clearly define the issue so you can create a focused hypothesis. For example, you notice that people seem more productive at certain times of the day. You want to find out if working in the morning leads to better performance.
  2. Make an assumption: Consider what you believe might be influencing the situation or causing the problem. This should be based on observations or existing knowledge. For example, you assume that people are more productive in the morning because they have more energy.
  3. Turn it into a clear statement: A good hypothesis predicts a relationship between two things. Use a simple structure like: If X happens, then Y will happen because of Z. For example, if people work in the morning, then they will complete tasks faster because they have more energy at the start of the day.
  4. Decide how to test it: Think about how you can gather evidence to support or challenge your idea. You need a way to measure the effect you’re investigating. For example, you could track how long it takes people to finish tasks at different times of the day and compare the results.
  5. Make sure it’s specific and measurable: A testable hypothesis should be clear enough that others can understand and repeat the test. Avoid vague statements that are too broad or subjective. For example, a specific and testable hypothesis might be: “People who start work before 10am will complete 20% more tasks than those who start later.”
  6. Test and refine: After testing, you may need to adjust your hypothesis based on the results. If the evidence does not support your idea, you can revise it and test a new version.

By following these steps, you can create strong, testable hypotheses that help you make better decisions and solve complex problems with confidence.

Assessment

Reflective questions for individuals can include:

  • What is a hypothesis and why might it be helpful? 
  • Why and when can you use hypothesis testing to help solve complex problems?
  • How can you test hypotheses to explore complex problems?
  • When have you used hypothesis testing as part of problem solving?

Observation cues for trainers can include:

  • Is this individual able to create and test a hypothesis which supports exploring a complex problem?

Evidence can include individuals’ self-reflections, a write-up of where they have created and tested a hypothesis to explore a complex problem, and observations from others.

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